Predicted vs Actual — Gap Tracking

5d horizon · linear-regression-style residual minimization

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Weekly Convergence —

Gap by Action |predicted - actual| × 100

Pillar Gradient (proposed Δweight) low_signed_gap − high_signed_gap → ΔW (clamped ±10%)

Pillar	N (low/high)	Low Gap	High Gap	Diff (pp)	ΔW
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By Confidence—

Band	N	\|Gap\|	Signed
—

By Sector—

Sector	N	\|Gap\|	Signed
—

By Regime—

Regime	N	\|Gap\|	Signed
—

By Volatility (HV20 tertile)—

HV20	N	\|Gap\|	Signed
—