Adaptive Calibration

Pillar weight + confidence threshold evolution from realized prediction accuracy

Confidence Threshold Evolution —

Pillar Weights (EMA-smoothed) —

Latest Threshold Sweep argmax(score) within MIN_N gate becomes recommendation

Threshold	N	Accuracy	Avg Ret	Score	Status
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Pillar Status (current) applied=true means N≥30 gate met

Pillar	N	Alpha (pp)	EMA Weight	Status	Reason
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Calibration Runs Log —

Run	Updated	Mode	N Records	Actionable	Threshold EMA
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